For Conference Championship Weekend, we are combining daily fantasy recommendations and prop bets into one article. A +20000 recommended bet nearly hit as a recommendation last week, but this week is all under +5000.
Daily Fantasy Plays
DraftKings: $5,500 | FanDuel: $7,700
At the end of the first Titans-Chiefs game this season (at home in Nashville), Ryan Tannehill and the Tennessee passing attack almost did whatever they wanted driving right down the field for the game-winning score. Kansas City’s defense has improved a ton, but perhaps Tannehill will be confident after already having success versus the unit. It hasn’t shown up in the postseason, but A.J. Brown has emerged as a major difference-maker since then, and Tannehill has nice passing upside despite throwing for fewer than 100 yards in his two playoff starts.
DraftKings: $5,700 | FanDuel: $6,500
Inserting Derrick Henry is basically a must at the running back spot, and Damien Williams is close to that territory, but Tevin Coleman is a strong option as someone that has similar scoring upside. Coleman is coming off a two-touchdown performance last weekend, and he had a touchdown against the Packers earlier this year.
DraftKings: $4,600 | FanDuel: $5,200
Sammy Watkins showed his strong hands, explosiveness, and willingness to go over the middle when he had two receptions for 76 yards last week, and he’s a guy the Chiefs can get more involved with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line this Sunday. Last week’s 76 yards were Watkins’ closest to the 100-yard mark since Week 1’s 9/198/3 outing, but he theoretically offers a nice floor with monstrous upside.
DraftKings: $3,800 | FanDuel: $4,900
His big kick return helped spark Kansas City’s comeback in the Divisional Round, but rookie Mecole Hardman had a quiet week offensively. However, the Georgia product’s big-play ability makes him a high-upside play at a value price for the AFC title game. Hardman had a 63-yard touchdown against the Titans in their November matchup, and he is averaging over 20 yards per reception this season.
DraftKings: $3,400 | FanDuel: $5,600
This one is basic, as most are going to want to spend the salary for George Kittle or Travis Kelce. However, if you want to save money for top running backs or receivers, or you just want to take a contrarian approach in your lineup, Jonnu Smith has a good matchup. Smith is a threat in the red zone, and he can split the middle of the field for a chunk play off play-action if the Chiefs defense comes up to stop Henry.
Conference Championship Prop Bets
Tevin Coleman scored two of the required three times on +20000 odds that were worth a shot, and he easily could have punched it in a third time in the second half. We’ll see if something with lower odds works out this weekend. All prop bets are via FOX Bet.
Titans vs. Chiefs
Either QB 500+ Passing Yards (+4000)
Patrick Mahomes threw for a season-high 446 yards against the Titans during the regular season, and he’s coming off a game where the Chiefs offense was absolutely feeling it. Ryan Tannehill hitting 500 yards is unlikely, but the Titans quarterback being added to the bet is a nice boost to potentially make it worth taking a chance on.
Damien Williams 2+ TD & Derrick Henry 2+ TD (+1100)
Derrick Henry scored twice against the Chiefs in that first matchup this season, and Damien Williams has found the end zone twice in two consecutive games. The +1100 odds seem a bit low for something that has a decent possibility of happening, but that indicates this is a relatively realistic scenario on Sunday.
Packers vs. 49ers
Aaron Jones 1st TD & George Kittle Last TD (+4500)
Packers wide receiver Davante Adams has said the team’s gameplan is a lot better than it was the first time around versus the Niners this season, so perhaps Green Bay can get the ball first and cap a promising drive with an Aaron Jones touchdown. If the game is close and San Francisco needs a late score to go ahead, superstar tight end George Kittle would be the favorite to come up with it.
Each Team to Score 1+ TD & 1+ FG in Each Half (+1000)
It’s tough to predict how this game will go, and it could easily be a defensive battle. But a touchdown and a field goal for each team in both the first and second half isn’t much of a stretch.